The pair finally broke from its triangle - down, as I long expected. Freaking heck that took long enough. Usually went it goes sideways for a good while it breaks out and acts like a teenager with long pent-up energy - it goes bananas. I circled previous times like this in the last several [...]
Read Full Post »
Remember we were talking about the EUR/GBP last week, and the stair-step pattern that is especially evident with the Bollinger Bands? Well the pair closed above the upper band yesterday. So let’s say we got in and let the experiment begin.
This really isn’t a “paper” trade - we don’t have many clearly defined rules, [...]
Read Full Post »
I’ve fooled around plenty with Bollinger Bands, but they aren’t part of my regular trading routine. Nonetheless, I often poke my nose around what various things are up to, and notice a nice pattern on EUR/GBP.
The trend is up, and the bands have been stair-stepping up. It’s a great pattern, with the bands being [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in British pound, Japanese yen, tagged pound, yen, jpy, gbp, forex, gbp/jpy, bounce, trend, downtrend on February 1, 2008 | No Comments »
Looks like we are getting a bounce lower off a small resistance level on the GBP/JPY, unsurprisingly. All is well with the downtrend.
Read Full Post »
We’ve talked about it - all hail the Koruna, right? Still doing its thing. On the left, below is the chart as I’ve had it drawn out for months now. I thought it might help some to see how I made a subtle change to my chart to account for some recent price action.
[...]
Read Full Post »
Well, here’s to a new week! An excellent way to start out is spending a moment on the “big picture.”
Technically the euro remains strong, the pound and loonie weak, and the yen has been gaining strength. The comparison chart on the left illustrates this nicely.
Fundamentally nothing has changed - there is trouble, and trouble [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in British pound, Japanese yen, Price patterns, U.S. stocks, tagged pound, yen, jpy, gbp, forex, stocks, gbp/jpy, dow, triple top, s&p 500 on January 17, 2008 | 1 Comment »
After the carnage in stocks today (more later), the GBP/JPY is eyeing the downside again. If you traded the pair on the hourly chart, you were stopped out in the last few days. But oh, what a run! And if you gave back too much in gains, time to devise an exit strategy that [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in British pound, Carry trade, Japanese yen, Price patterns, tagged Carry trade, feedback cycle, forex, gbp, gbp/jpy, jpy, pennant, pound, price pattern, stocks, yen on January 14, 2008 | 2 Comments »
Today is the first day I look at the S&P500 ($SPX) - representing the average of US stocks - and think “this may be a pennant”. If I can get a triangle shape out of short term support and resistance, it’s a pennant. And price coiling like this at support is pretty threatening to [...]
Read Full Post »
We’ve been talking about these so don’t forget about them, these are 3 great trending pairs that are entrenched in money-making mode (in the direction of the arrow on the chart, I made it clear if it wasn’t obvious), so simply look for signals to get in - don’t just get in any ol’ time [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in British pound, Japanese yen, Price patterns, tagged pound, yen, jpy, gbp, forex, resistance, gbp/jpy, support on January 11, 2008 | No Comments »
Remember 213.50, how we talked about how a breach lower than this point would resume the bearishness? The pair has been flopping around above that for a week but in the wee hours it broke lower. Finally, dang it.
If you missed it or are not in yet, fear not. It is doing a typical [...]
Read Full Post »
Today in the daily audio FX we break down the essentials of the Bank geeks testimonies to tradeable action and information. We discuss the intermarket relationships of pumping liquidity into the U.S. markets, did the BOE really hold rates - do you need more reason to short the GBP? China [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in British pound, Japanese yen, tagged pound, yen, jpy, gbp, price pattern, forex, head and shoulders, gbp/jpy on January 9, 2008 | No Comments »
Keeping an eye on this trade is a great example of how you can sometimes see things coming. Notice how we are coming up on a convergence of support. Notice that puts us around tomorrow morning … what’s happening then? Bank of England interest rate statement. ECB interest rate statement. GBP trade balance. WOW.
Obviously my [...]
Read Full Post »
FX Pup Lessons
Posted in Audio commentary, British pound, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar, tagged FX Lesson, pound, trading system, yen on April 21, 2008 | 4 Comments »
A lesson on trading with the stochastic indicator on the GBP/JPY by: James ‘Big Dog’ Boyd.
The stochastic is a great tool to monitor the trade to see how much room we have left to go up or down. The stochastic again tells us the bullish or bearish sentiment in the trade. In this example we look [...]
Read Full Post »